Приложение 4
Таблица данных для линейной модели с  (летний период)
Год
|
Дата
|
p, (руб./МВтч)
|
q,
(МВтч)
|
q(t-1), (МВтч)
|
p*, (руб./МВтч)
|
ε
|
2013
|
21.05.2013
|
973,188
|
22127,213
|
22127,213
|
936,204
|
36,984
|
22.05.2013
|
893,744
|
22153,680
|
22127,213
|
937,316
|
-43,573
|
23.05.2013
|
826,216
|
21963,517
|
22153,680
|
930,108
|
-103,892
|
24.05.2013
|
921,549
|
21994,476
|
21963,517
|
925,776
|
-4,227
|
27.05.2013
|
843,098
|
21966,202
|
21994,476
|
925,505
|
-82,407
|
28.05.2013
|
893,744
|
21900,849
|
21966,202
|
921,921
|
-28,177
|
29.05.2013
|
813,307
|
22025,614
|
21900,849
|
925,229
|
-111,922
|
30.05.2013
|
813,307
|
21836,975
|
22025,614
|
920,996
|
-107,689
|
31.05.2013
|
907,646
|
21846,547
|
21836,975
|
915,810
|
-8,164
|
03.06.2013
|
995,020
|
21622,879
|
21846,547
|
906,693
|
88,327
|
2014
|
05.05.2014
|
394,450
|
21579,726
|
21579,726
|
456,433
|
-61,983
|
06.05.2014
|
394,450
|
22353,964
|
21579,726
|
597,122
|
-202,672
|
07.05.2014
|
9,911
|
22092,679
|
22353,964
|
356,299
|
-346,388
|
08.05.2014
|
394,450
|
21927,063
|
22092,679
|
391,453
|
2,997
|
12.05.2014
|
9,911
|
21913,164
|
21927,063
|
430,285
|
-420,375
|
13.05.2014
|
391,477
|
21754,302
|
21913,164
|
404,889
|
-13,412
|
14.05.2014
|
445,986
|
21480,460
|
21754,302
|
394,799
|
51,187
|
15.05.2014
|
394,450
|
21738,497
|
21480,460
|
510,073
|
-115,623
|
16.05.2014
|
391,477
|
21396,497
|
21738,497
|
383,489
|
7,988
|
19.05.2014
|
644,202
|
21618,757
|
21396,497
|
509,282
|
134,921
|
2015
|
20.05.2015
|
478,088
|
21411,770
|
21411,770
|
615,947
|
-137,860
|
22.05.2015
|
710,159
|
20832,137
|
21411,770
|
619,686
|
90,474
|
03.06.2015
|
689,621
|
20348,745
|
20832,137
|
600,883
|
88,738
|
04.06.2015
|
459,082
|
20559,121
|
20348,745
|
581,246
|
-122,164
|
08.06.2015
|
304,391
|
20565,577
|
20559,121
|
589,160
|
-284,769
|
10.06.2015
|
304,391
|
20483,945
|
20565,577
|
589,931
|
-285,539
|
11.06.2015
|
459,082
|
20319,070
|
20483,945
|
587,907
|
-128,825
|
12.06.2015
|
398,204
|
20033,474
|
20319,070
|
583,514
|
-185,310
|
16.06.2015
|
613,772
|
20057,781
|
20033,474
|
572,557
|
41,216
|
19.06.2015
|
648,703
|
20018,245
|
20057,781
|
573,731
|
74,972
|
общая модель
|
21.05.2013
|
973,188
|
22127,213
|
21411,770
|
659,548
|
313,640
|
22.05.2013
|
893,744
|
22153,680
|
21411,770
|
660,349
|
233,395
|
23.05.2013
|
826,216
|
21963,517
|
22153,680
|
618,844
|
207,372
|
24.05.2013
|
921,549
|
21994,476
|
21963,517
|
628,944
|
292,605
|
27.05.2013
|
843,098
|
21966,202
|
21994,476
|
626,597
|
216,501
|
28.05.2013
|
893,744
|
21900,849
|
21966,202
|
625,982
|
267,762
|
29.05.2013
|
813,307
|
22025,614
|
21900,849
|
632,906
|
180,401
| |
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