Приложение 3
Таблица данных для логарифмической модели (летний период)
Год
|
Дата
|
p, (руб./МВтч)
|
q, (МВтч)
|
Ln(p)
|
Ln(q)
|
Ln(p)*
|
ε
|
2013
|
21.05.2013
|
973,188
|
22127,213
|
6,881
|
10,005
|
6,824
|
0,057
|
22.05.2013
|
893,744
|
22153,680
|
6,795
|
10,006
|
6,826
|
-0,030
|
23.05.2013
|
826,216
|
21963,517
|
6,717
|
9,997
|
6,811
|
-0,094
|
24.05.2013
|
921,549
|
21994,476
|
6,826
|
9,999
|
6,814
|
0,013
|
27.05.2013
|
843,098
|
21966,202
|
6,737
|
9,997
|
6,811
|
-0,074
|
28.05.2013
|
893,744
|
21900,849
|
6,795
|
9,994
|
6,806
|
-0,011
|
29.05.2013
|
813,307
|
22025,614
|
6,701
|
10,000
|
6,816
|
-0,115
|
30.05.2013
|
813,307
|
21836,975
|
6,701
|
9,991
|
6,801
|
-0,100
|
31.05.2013
|
907,646
|
21846,547
|
6,811
|
9,992
|
6,802
|
0,009
|
03.06.2013
|
995,020
|
21622,879
|
6,903
|
9,982
|
6,784
|
0,118
|
2014
|
05.05.2014
|
394,450
|
21579,726
|
5,977
|
9,980
|
5,790
|
0,188
|
06.05.2014
|
394,450
|
22353,964
|
5,977
|
10,015
|
5,584
|
0,393
|
07.05.2014
|
9,911
|
22092,679
|
2,294
|
10,003
|
5,653
|
-3,359
|
08.05.2014
|
394,450
|
21927,063
|
5,977
|
9,995
|
5,697
|
0,281
|
12.05.2014
|
9,911
|
21913,164
|
2,294
|
9,995
|
5,700
|
-3,407
|
13.05.2014
|
391,477
|
21754,302
|
5,970
|
9,988
|
5,743
|
0,227
|
14.05.2014
|
445,986
|
21480,460
|
6,100
|
9,975
|
5,817
|
0,284
|
15.05.2014
|
394,450
|
21738,497
|
5,977
|
9,987
|
5,747
|
0,231
|
16.05.2014
|
391,477
|
21396,497
|
5,970
|
9,971
|
5,839
|
0,131
|
19.05.2014
|
644,202
|
21618,757
|
6,468
|
9,981
|
5,779
|
0,689
|
2015
|
20.05.2015
|
478,088
|
21411,770
|
6,170
|
9,972
|
6,367
|
-0,198
|
22.05.2015
|
710,159
|
20832,137
|
6,565
|
9,944
|
6,350
|
0,216
|
03.06.2015
|
689,621
|
20348,745
|
6,536
|
9,921
|
6,335
|
0,201
|
04.06.2015
|
459,082
|
20559,121
|
6,129
|
9,931
|
6,341
|
-0,212
|
08.06.2015
|
304,391
|
20565,577
|
5,718
|
9,931
|
6,341
|
-0,623
|
10.06.2015
|
304,391
|
20483,945
|
5,718
|
9,927
|
6,339
|
-0,621
|
11.06.2015
|
459,082
|
20319,070
|
6,129
|
9,919
|
6,334
|
-0,204
|
12.06.2015
|
398,204
|
20033,474
|
5,987
|
9,905
|
6,325
|
-0,338
|
16.06.2015
|
613,772
|
20057,781
|
6,420
|
9,906
|
6,325
|
0,094
|
19.06.2015
|
648,703
|
20018,245
|
6,475
|
9,904
|
6,324
|
0,151
|
Общая модель
|
21.05.2013
|
973,188
|
22127,213
|
6,881
|
10,005
|
6,457
|
0,424
|
22.05.2013
|
893,744
|
22153,680
|
6,795
|
10,006
|
6,457
|
0,339
|
23.05.2013
|
826,216
|
21963,517
|
6,717
|
9,997
|
6,457
|
0,260
|
24.05.2013
|
921,549
|
21994,476
|
6,826
|
9,999
|
6,457
|
0,369
|
27.05.2013
|
843,098
|
21966,202
|
6,737
|
9,997
|
6,457
|
0,280
|
28.05.2013
|
893,744
|
21900,849
|
6,795
|
9,994
|
6,457
|
0,339
|
29.05.2013
|
813,307
|
22025,614
|
6,701
|
10,000
|
6,457
|
0,244
|
30.05.2013
|
813,307
|
21836,975
|
6,701
|
9,991
|
6,457
|
0,244
| |
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