Приложение 8
Таблица данных для линейной модели с (зимний период)
Год
| Дата
| p, (руб./МВтч)
| q,
(МВтч)
| q(t-1), (МВтч)
| p*, (руб./МВтч)
| ε
| 2013
| 01.01.2013
| 872,277
| 25514,194
| 25514,194
| 1181,879
| -309,602
| 790,099
| 25709,369
| 25514,194
| 1184,916
| -394,817
| 790,099
| 25766,415
| 25709,369
| 1185,804
| -395,705
| 799,010
| 25936,766
| 25766,415
| 1188,454
| -389,444
| 789,109
| 26564,673
| 25936,766
| 1198,224
| -409,115
| 962,376
| 27150,250
| 26564,673
| 1207,335
| -244,959
| 962,376
| 27595,845
| 27150,250
| 1214,268
| -251,892
| 962,376
| 27547,708
| 27595,845
| 1213,519
| -251,143
| 20.11.13-10.03.14
| 20.11.2013
| 744,533
| 23 907,985
| 25514,194
| 1549,668
| -805,135
| 833,996
| 24 419,293
| 25 514,194
| 1547,522
| -713,526
| 846,918
| 24 607,326
| 24 419,293
| 1546,733
| -699,814
| 834,990
| 24 515,816
| 24 607,326
| 1547,117
| -712,127
| 792,247
| 24 647,799
| 24 515,816
| 1546,563
| -754,317
| 871,769
| 25 041,199
| 24 647,799
| 1544,912
| -673,143
| 1053,678
| 25 211,479
| 25 041,199
| 1544,197
| -490,519
| 846,918
| 24 979,972
| 25 211,479
| 1545,169
| -698,251
| 20.11.14-10.03.15
| 20.11.2014
| 765,054
| 25 535,253
| 25514,194
| 888,950
| -123,896
| 771,964
| 26 119,516
| 25 514,194
| 914,285
| -142,321
| 823,297
| 26 223,689
| 26 119,516
| 918,803
| -95,505
| 823,297
| 25 941,762
| 26 223,689
| 906,577
| -83,280
| 828,233
| 26 592,684
| 25 941,762
| 934,803
| -106,570
| 828,233
| 26 908,040
| 26 592,684
| 948,478
| -120,245
| 828,233
| 26 828,321
| 26 908,040
| 945,021
| -116,788
| 828,233
| 26 559,747
| 26 828,321
| 933,375
| -105,142
| 2015
| 20.11.2015
| 704,365
| 26 888,196
| 25514,194
| 851,924
| -147,559
| 818,452
| 27 363,451
| 25 514,194
| 861,362
| -42,909
| 782,738
| 27 361,853
| 27 363,451
| 861,330
| -78,592
| 782,738
| 27 267,244
| 27 361,853
| 859,451
| -76,713
| 761,905
| 28 106,297
| 27 267,244
| 876,113
| -114,209
| 761,905
| 28 311,889
| 28 106,297
| 880,196
| -118,291
| 704,365
| 28 097,741
| 28 311,889
| 875,943
| -171,578
| 684,524
| 27 913,793
| 28 097,741
| 872,290
| -187,767
| Общая модель
| 01.01.2013
| 872,277
| 25514,194
| 25514,194
| 694,791
| 177,486
| 790,099
| 25709,369
| 25514,194
| 701,843
| 88,256
| 790,099
| 25766,415
| 25709,369
| 703,904
| 86,195
| 799,010
| 25936,766
| 25766,415
| 710,058
| 88,951
| 789,109
| 26564,673
| 25936,766
| 732,745
| 56,364
| |